Exploring the Cost of Decarbonizing the United States: A Proposal for a Green Sacrifice Ratio

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Küçük Resim

Tarih

2024

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Springer

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

In line with global warming, decarbonization of economies is a much-discussed topic in climate policies and economic forecasts. However, estimating the output cost of decarbonizing economies has not received attention. Therefore, this study examines the costs of decarbonization in the USA, the leading country in the global economy, by proposing a Green Sacrifice Ratio based on estimating the output costs of emission abatement policy. To do this, the study employs Structural Vector Autoregression analysis to measure the Green Sacrifice Ratio in the USA from 1973/Q1 to 2023/Q2. The empirical results show that a permanent 1% reduction in carbon emissions results in a cumulative loss of 0.0001% of output in the USA. The implication is that the cost of decarbonization in the USA can be lower than the economic burden of environmental pollution. Therefore, policymakers in the USA should take determined actions to prevent irreversible environmental degradation and avoid heavy economic costs in the future.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Decarbonization, Economic cost, Green Sacrifice Ratio, SVAR, United States

Kaynak

Environmental Modeling & Assessment

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

Q2

Cilt

29

Sayı

4

Künye